Candidates and speculation

The next Secretary-General is due to take office on 1 January 2027 with the selection process expected to begin in late 2025.

This page is intended to increase the transparency of the process for selecting the UN Secretary-General and to promote healthy debate on the characteristics and priorities that the next UN leader should hold. The 1 for 8 Billion campaign is focused on process and does not take a position on candidates, publicly or otherwise.

Please note, this page does not represent an official or definitive list of candidates for the position of UN Secretary-General and should be considered for information purposes only. Whilst we review this page regularly, we are unable to guarantee that the information is accurate and up to date.

Names on this page are listed in alphabetical order and the methodology is available below.

Rumoured potential candidates

The following comprises a list of individuals that have been named as potential candidates in the press. It has been collated objectively using online news articles. Those listed should not be considered as potential candidates beyond the realms of speculation and hearsay. See below for full methodology.

Jacinda Ardern

Country: New Zealand

Role: Former Prime Minister of New Zealand

Source: IPS News

Photo: UN Photo/Cia Pak

Michelle Bachelet

Country: Chile

Role: Former President of Chile, former UN High Commissioner for Human Rights

Source: IPS News

Photo: UN Photo/Jean Marc Ferré

Alicia Bárcena

Country: Mexico

Role: Secretary of Foreign Affairs of Mexico

Source: CNN

Photo: UN Photo/Manuel Elías

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés

Country: Ecuador

Role: Former president of the UN General Assembly

Source: CNN

Photo: UN Photo/Cia Pak

Kristalina Georgieva

Country: Bulgaria

Role: Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund

Source: IPS News

Photo: UN Photo/Loey Felipe

Rafael Grossi

Country: Argentina

Role: Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency

Source: CNN

Photo: UN Photo/Manuel Elías

Rebeca Grynspan

Country: Costa Rica

Role: Secretary-general of the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development and former vice president of Costa Rica

Source: CNN

Photo: UN Photo/Eskinder Debebe

Amina Mohammed

Country: Nigeria / United Kingdom

Role: Deputy Secretary-General of the United Nations

Source: IPS News

Photo: UN Photo/Loey Felipe

Mia Mottley

Country: Barbados

Role: Prime Minister of Barbados

Source: CNN

Photo: UN Photo/Cia Pak

Juan Manuel Santos

Country: Colombia

Role: Former President of Colombia

Source: IPS News

Photo: UN Photo/Rick Bajornas

Achim Steiner

Country: Brazil / Germany

Role: Administrator of the United Nations Development Programme

Source: IPS News

Photo: UN Photo/Rick Bajornas


Methodology

The individuals above have been listed because they satisfied the criteria for one of the following categories. In all instances we have provided a rationale and a link to relevant public statements to enable the reader to make an informed opinion on the likelihood of their candidacy. 

While 1 for 8 Billion is committed to increasing civil society engagement with the process for the selection of Secretary-General, the decision is ultimately made by states. Candidates currently cannot be considered for the position without being nominated by at least one member state and cannot prevail in the process without the recommendation of the Security Council and the subsequent approval of the General Assembly.  For this reason listing of prospective candidates always has a dual emphasis on the possibility of the individual running and the likelihood of them receiving state backing.

The list is compiled using a combination of proactive searching of major news outlets in different regions, news alerts and social media monitoring. Where possible we will include source material from non-English publications, however, due to language, capacity and accessibility constraints we will not be able to exhaustively monitor publications in all languages.  If we’ve missed something please get in touch by emailing ben@1for8billion.org

  • Official candidate: has been announced as a candidate by the Presidents of the UN General Assembly and Security Council. A list of withdrawn candidates will also be maintained comprising former official candidates who have announced their withdrawal from the process.

  • Likely candidate: either a UN member state has made a public statement that it will nominate the candidate or both the following are true: 

  1. There is a strong likelihood of the candidate running, as indicated by

    • A public statement to that effect by the candidate themselves

    • A news story in a credible media publication suggesting they will run

  2. There is a strong likelihood that that candidate will receive the nomination of at least one UN member state, as indicated by

  • A public statement to that effect by at least one member state

  • A news story in a credible media publication suggesting a state is willing to support them

  • A social media post from a credible UN expert suggesting a state is willing to support them

  • Credible information from one of the campaign’s advisors suggesting a state is willing to support them

  • Rumoured potential candidate: there is a possibility of the candidate running and receiving state backing, as indicated by a news story / comment in a credible media publication or a from a credible UN commentator alongside the individual’s record in high office indicating that the candidate has a realistic chance of receiving state backing

  • Ruled out: former potential candidates who have made a public statement that they do not intend to run

As the selection of the Secretary-General draws nearer the campaign’s focus will narrow to official and likely candidates.